[NL20-NL50] AK on flushed board

    • jazzy29
      Joined: 06.11.2012 Posts: 308
      PokerStars Zoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

      Button ($12.02)
      SB ($25.90) 10/4 fold2CB=50 AF=1 WTS=75 @52hands
      Hero (BB) ($25)
      UTG ($99.40)
      MP ($22.62)
      CO ($20.93)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A
      1 fold, MP bets $0.75, 2 folds, SB calls $0.65, Hero raises to $3, 1 fold, SB calls $2.25

      Flop: ($6.75) 8, K, 3 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4

      Turn: ($14.75) 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $12, SB raises to $18.90 (All-In), Hero calls $6 (All-In)

      River: ($50.75) Q (2 players, 2 all-in)

      Total pot: $50.75 | Rake: $2

      Preflop I give villain a range like: QQ-77,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,AQo+ maybe a little wide for a Nit, but in my experience they call wider when they see implieds than we might sometimes expect. So maybe there are some move pockets in his range but anyways.

      On the flop we are way ahead, when he calls I have to adjust his range.
      So I give him a set, some J :diamond: J+ the A :diamond: Jx+ combos and so on, so it would look like:

      Board: K:diamond: 8:diamond: 3:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    52.17%  41.68%  10.49% { 88, QdQh, QdQs, QdQc, JdJh, JdJs, JdJc, AKs, AdQd, KdQd, AdJd, KdJd, QdJd, AKo, AdQh, AdQs, AdQc, AdJh, AdJs, AdJc, KdQh, KdQs, KdQc, KhQd, KsQd, KcQd, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc }
      MP3    47.83%  37.34%  10.49% { AKs, AKo }

      So I choose to bet once again, when he reraised I feel like beat but the odds...
      Do you think a turn checkbehind would be better and call any none :diamond: river?
      Or would you say my line and my thoughts are good, well played?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,295
      Hey Jazzy29,

      Vs turn raise you basically have to call because of pot-odds.

      I don't think you should check behind the turn, but I do think you should bet closer to half pot. You want to make sure you get another call from hands like T:dT and other pairs/draws. It would also make it slightly easier to get away from the hand if you did get raised.