Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG+1: $54.20 (VPIP: 17.62, PFR: 14.46, 3Bet Preflop: 5.32, Hands: 1,030)
UTG+2: $35.40 (VPIP: 22.39, PFR: 11.94, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 69)
MP: $21.85 (VPIP: 18.58, PFR: 17.16, 3Bet Preflop: 7.94, Hands: 346)
Hero (MP+1): $50.55
CO: $70.30 (VPIP: 16.81, PFR: 11.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 113)
BTN: $58.30 (VPIP: 21.39, PFR: 14.45, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 177)
SB: $50.00 (VPIP: 12.62, PFR: 9.63, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 303)
BB: $17.50 (VPIP: 11.76, PFR: 9.41, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 85)
UTG: $50.00 (VPIP: 19.67, PFR: 11.48, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 61)
SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q

Q
fold,
fold,
UTG+2 raises to $1.50,
fold,
Hero raises to $4.75,
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold, UTG+2 calls $3.25
This villain doesn't have much history yet, but he is quite aggressive. I think my hand is strong and I want post-flop initiative, so I 3B. I also don't want to make a bigger pot for others behind me.
Flop: ($10.25, 2 players) 2

2

9

UTG+2 checks,
Hero bets $5.75,
UTG+2 raises to $12.00,
Hero calls $6.25
This c/r is a bit fishy to me. I decide to call because I am still ahead of many pocket pairs like TT, JJ, or even 88. He could also be c/r with AK or something, but that seems doubtful.
I am trying to not always assume players are bluffing, so I called. But I don't think that is a good justification. I also (at the time) thought that if I am ahead many hands would fold that I beat, maybe 77 or 88, possibly TT, and I would be limiting his range to stronger hands like 99, KK, or possibly AA (as he has a 0/31 3B (though this is still a small sample)).
Turn%s: ($34.25, 2 players) 5
UTG+2 bets $18.65 and is all-in,
fold
On this turn, nothing really changed. The way this player played he either has a hand that is stronger than me or isn't. When I put a range of 99+ into the equity calculator, I am only behind 45%-55%. If I take out AA (which I'm not sure I can) those odds reverse. I think this fold was a mistake. I possibly overcompensated trying not to be too much of a hero-caller...