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[NL20-NL50] NL50 QQ on low flop vs. aggressive Villain

    • PhoenixPhreak
      PhoenixPhreak
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: $54.20 (VPIP: 17.62, PFR: 14.46, 3Bet Preflop: 5.32, Hands: 1,030)
      UTG+2: $35.40 (VPIP: 22.39, PFR: 11.94, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 69)
      MP: $21.85 (VPIP: 18.58, PFR: 17.16, 3Bet Preflop: 7.94, Hands: 346)
      Hero (MP+1): $50.55
      CO: $70.30 (VPIP: 16.81, PFR: 11.50, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 113)
      BTN: $58.30 (VPIP: 21.39, PFR: 14.45, 3Bet Preflop: 2.99, Hands: 177)
      SB: $50.00 (VPIP: 12.62, PFR: 9.63, 3Bet Preflop: 3.57, Hands: 303)
      BB: $17.50 (VPIP: 11.76, PFR: 9.41, 3Bet Preflop: 7.69, Hands: 85)
      UTG: $50.00 (VPIP: 19.67, PFR: 11.48, 3Bet Preflop: 3.23, Hands: 61)

      SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has Q:club: Q:heart:

      fold, fold, UTG+2 raises to $1.50, fold, Hero raises to $4.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, UTG+2 calls $3.25

      This villain doesn't have much history yet, but he is quite aggressive. I think my hand is strong and I want post-flop initiative, so I 3B. I also don't want to make a bigger pot for others behind me.

      Flop: ($10.25, 2 players) 2:spade: 2:club: 9:diamond: UTG+2 checks, Hero bets $5.75, UTG+2 raises to $12.00, Hero calls $6.25

      This c/r is a bit fishy to me. I decide to call because I am still ahead of many pocket pairs like TT, JJ, or even 88. He could also be c/r with AK or something, but that seems doubtful.
      I am trying to not always assume players are bluffing, so I called. But I don't think that is a good justification. I also (at the time) thought that if I am ahead many hands would fold that I beat, maybe 77 or 88, possibly TT, and I would be limiting his range to stronger hands like 99, KK, or possibly AA (as he has a 0/31 3B (though this is still a small sample)).

      Turn%s: ($34.25, 2 players) 5:heart: UTG+2 bets $18.65 and is all-in, fold

      On this turn, nothing really changed. The way this player played he either has a hand that is stronger than me or isn't. When I put a range of 99+ into the equity calculator, I am only behind 45%-55%. If I take out AA (which I'm not sure I can) those odds reverse. I think this fold was a mistake. I possibly overcompensated trying not to be too much of a hero-caller...
  • 2 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Phoenix,

      Preflop: looks fine since he appears to be fishy.

      Postflop: Fish do ck/raise or raise a lot on paired boards and he can have any pairs including 33 and 44 type hands.

      I can't see how you can call the flop with so little money behind and fold on a complete blank.

      This should be a snap call on the turn imo.
    • PhoenixPhreak
      PhoenixPhreak
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.04.2011 Posts: 335
      Yeah, I know I screwed that one up. I just wanted to make sure that I was correct in knowing I screwed it up...