[NL2-NL10] it's ok to bluff shove turn?

    • mavetek
      Joined: 15.08.2011 Posts: 220

      Villain is unknown 38/25 (24 hands)

      Preflop: I tend to 3bet for value even with unknowns with AQ because they just call too light

      Flop: the plan was to bet/fold 1 street

      Turn: I changed idea and thought he could fold some Jx and 99-TT, plus I block some combos

      the question is: It's ok to bluff here?

      I tried to play with Equilab
      26 combos calls flop but should fold turn: TT-99,AJs,QJs,JTs,AJo
      29 doesn't fold: QQ-JJ,AKs,KJs,KdQd,QdJd,AKo,KJo,AdJh,AdJs,AdJc,AhJd,AsJd,AcJd

      the bluff should work 1/3 of the time

      I just started to practice with Equilab so my thoughts can be wrong

      IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $10 (100 bb)
      BB: $13.63 (136.3 bb)
      MP: $3.98 (39.8 bb)
      CO: $13.18 (131.8 bb)
      BTN: $5.49 (54.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
      MP raises to $0.20, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, BB folds, MP calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.30) 7 J 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.65, MP calls $0.65

      Turn: ($2.60) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.80, MP calls $2.73 and is all-in

      River: ($8.06) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      $8.06 pot ($0.47 rake)
      Final Board: 7 J 5 K 2
      Hero mucked Q A and won $0.00 (-$3.98 net)
      MP showed J K and won $7.59 ($3.61 net)
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi MAvetek,

      Preflop: since he did min raise and is short our 3-bet should be for value often enough.

      Postflop: Villain appears fishy, given his stack size and preflop play, so bluffs work less often versus them.

      I really doubt that AJ or QJ-JT can fold the turn and just because of that I will not bluff. And villains like him may even be stubborn and call TT-99.