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[NL20-NL50] Nl50-3bet pot IP vs losing player

    • maritsula
      maritsula
      Silver
      Joined: 19.12.2011 Posts: 905
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $62.16 (124.3 bb)
      SB: $71.53 (143.1 bb)
      BB: $22.99 (46 bb)
      UTG: $58.04 (116.1 bb)
      Hero (MP): $54.61 (109.2 bb)
      CO: $50.30 (100.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with J Q
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, SB raises to $3, BB folds, Hero calls $1.50

      Flop: ($6.50) 7 T 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.50, SB calls $3.50

      Turn: ($13.50) J (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $9, SB calls $9

      River: ($31.50) A (2 players)
      SB bets $11,


      Given villains 3bet sizing, I assume he is losing player

      Pre when he makes it so small I am never folding ofc

      On the flop when he checks I narrow his range to Ahighs most of the time or a weak PP, any overpair/set would bet most of the times

      Flop, its a std bet, I have 4 outs to the nuts, any j/q can improve my hand and some other cards can increase my equity

      Turn I hit my jack so i bet for value slightly bigger given the draw out there

      River one of the worst comes out
      Choice is to fold or shove imo

      I can definitely rep straight/2p/flush/set on this board, problem is , is he good enough to understand what I am repping and lay down AQ/AK in this spot if I shove?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Pre and Flop are standard.
      Turn is thin - I prefer checking here. I think it's overplay on a 4-straight board
      River: Everything gets there. Easy fold despite his small size. He can have AK/AQ/KQ/diamonds.

      I don't think his range is necessarily capped and you don't have diamond blockers which makes this spot worse for bluffng,

      Thanks.
    • maritsula
      maritsula
      Silver
      Joined: 19.12.2011 Posts: 905
      Against a thinking player, do we have fold equity if we shove the river?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Well a thinking player wouldn't
      1. min3b the Flop
      2. c/c the Turn with AK/AQ
      3. weak lead the river - He'll either c/r or bet larger

      this means that his range is just more weighed towards straights and flushes. It's gonna be more polarized here between air and nuts.