[NL20-NL50] NL20 AK TPTK, bad river

    • AchillesBG
      Joined: 06.02.2011 Posts: 4,586
      Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $20 (100 bb)
      UTG: $40.52 (202.6 bb)
      MP: $43.82 (219.1 bb)
      CO: $38.30 (191.5 bb)
      BTN: $30.96 (154.8 bb)
      Hero (SB): $37.90 (189.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with K:spade: A:heart:
      2 folds, CO calls $0.20, BTN calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1.20, BB folds, CO calls $1, BTN folds

      Flop: ($2.80) J:club: J:diamond: A:club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.90, CO calls $1.90

      Turn: ($6.60) 2:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.40, CO calls $4.40

      River: ($15.40) T:club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $7.70, Hero folds

      57/1 40% agg.freq., 71 hands

      The plan is to bet/fold 3 streets for value from worse Ax and this river is a ch/f?

      If the river was a blank, what sizing should i choose? Maybe 9$-10$?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779

      River: Looks like an easy c/f. Not expecting him to turn worse AX into a bluff, and he has so many trips or flush combos.

      About your game-plan - 3 streets is probably fine vs this guy. He's gonna have way more combos of AX than JX. AK isn't too big of a monster though, not on this jack pairing flop so I think you can 3-barrel with a smaller bet size (2/3 Turn and 1/2 River) to keep his River calling range wider.