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[NL2-NL10] JJ overpair in 4-way pot

    • mrbeast87
      mrbeast87
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.02.2011 Posts: 194
      No Limit Hold'em $0,05/$0,10
      PokerStars
      8 players
      Formatted by pokercopilot.com - Mac OS X hand history analysis and tracking

      Stacks:
      UTG - UTG ($7,54)
      UTG+1 - Hero ($19,44)
      MP - MP ($13,14)
      MP2 - MP2 ($9,03)
      CO - CO ($11,42)
      BTN - BTN ($19,20) vpip 17 prf 10 af 4 # 29
      SB - SB ($10,00)
      BB - BB ($10,00)

      Preflop: ($0,14, 8 players) Hero is UTG+1 with J:diamond: J:spade:
      1 fold, Hero raises to $0,40, 3 folds, BTN calls $0,40, SB calls $0,36, BB calls $0,30

      All the opponents that saw flop are regulars.

      Flop: T:heart: 8:spade: 3:diamond: ($1,60, 4 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1,10, BTN calls $1,10, 2 folds

      Turn: A:heart: ($3,80, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1,60, Hero calls $1,60

      Here I decided to call because I though beside sets, villain could have JT, 99 or a draw. Should I fold here?

      River: 2:diamond: ($7,00, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4,80, 1 fold, Uncalled bet of $4,80 returned to BTN

      The large bet indicated that I was probably behind, so I folded.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      PF: Hmm BU is 17/10. Wide disparity between VPIP and PFR could suggest that he's defending a wide speculative range from the BU in position. However you probably have a tight range and you did raise to 4bb which should tighten up his range significantly.

      Flop: I'm not sure if he is loose enough to have 97s here, J9s could be in his range but you block it with 2 of your Jacks.

      Turn: This is a check/fold. Let the equity calculations speak for themselves

      Board: Th8s3dAh
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 14.45% 14.45% 0.00% { JdJs }
      MP3 85.55% 85.55% 0.00% { TT, 88, 33, ATs, J9s }

      QQ is much closer to a call but the equity is still pretty low. Same for KK.

      Board: Th8s3dAh
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 24.01% 24.01% 0.00% { QQ }
      MP3 75.99% 75.99% 0.00% { TT, 88, 33, ATs, J9s }

      You basically need villain to have more OESDs like 97s or even gutshots like QJs