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[NL2-NL10] nl10 AKs zoom

    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2257397
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      BTN: $8.05 - VPIP: 32, PFR: 12, 3B: 0, AF: 2,0, Hands: 25
      SB: $10.05 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 21, 3B: 21, AF: 0,0, Hands: 100
      BB: $10.84 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 0,7, Hands: 172
      Hero (UTG): $15.54 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 4,1, Hands: 83293
      MP: $12.36 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 15, 3B: 12, AF: 1,5, Hands: 136
      CO: $9.45 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 13, 3B: 7, AF: 3,0, Hands: 30

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with K :diamond: A :diamond:
      Hero raises to $0.30, 1 fold, CO calls $0.30, 3 folds

      Flop: ($0.75) Q :diamond: 5 :club: 9 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.46, CO calls $0.46

      Turn: ($1.67) A :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.10, CO raises to $3, Hero calls $1.90

      River: ($7.67) 6 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $5.69, Hero?
  • 6 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,787
      Hi.

      First of all,

      What do u put him on when he raises the turn? Think abt it first then we will dicuss our turn and river options.
    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      nuts like AQ 55 99. so my only live outs are fd except 5d and maybe K river but still beaten by sets.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,787
      Ok I agree with you that the majority of his range should be nutted hands. So basically we call the Turn hoping that

      1. 5-10% of the time he's doing it with some other random bluff, and river goes check, check and we win
      2. We hit our flush

      We are getting odds of around 24.7% and we do hit our flush on around 18-20% of rivers. Add some implied odds if we do hit and I think the Turn is an easy call.

      River: If we put villain on the same range of hands, then we have a pretty easy fold. What I would suggest is for you to equilate this spot, check your pot odds and see how you fare on various river cards.

      Pot odds on river: 29.8%

      Important cards to consider: 5 and blank K rivers. Obviously u fold on the rest and call if you hit a flush.
    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      why not bet our self when we hit non 5d flush on river? our line looks like FD thats whY?
      if 5d come on river there is only 4 combos that beat us if he 3bet QQ AA pre.
      we could call rivers on blank K and 5d but only if he bets his AQ combos which im not sure he will, but he will expect us to ship our sets on turn anyway.
    • xero100
      xero100
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.08.2009 Posts: 1,355
      could you explain?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,787
      you could do that, but you also need to have some bluffs - If not villain would just hero-fold always