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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH KQo turn/river spot - should I shove?

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      BTN: $25 (100 bb)
      SB: $25.10 (100.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
      MP: $27.16 (108.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K Q
      2 folds, BTN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) 5 T J (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $1, Hero calls $1

      Turn: ($3.60) 2 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.25, Hero raises to $7, BTN calls $4.75

      River: ($17.60) T (2 players)
      Hero bets $16.25 and is all-in, BTN calls $16.25 and is all-in


      BU was marked as nit, but stats were not yet loaded.
      However, I had him marked as a nit.

      I would usually 3bet this hand for value vs BU open, but vs a nit it's a flat.

      Standard flat. Too good to bluff raise.

      Decided to x/r as a bluff.
      This guy would bet the turn with Jx + OPs. I think I have a decent FE vs Jx and OPs as I can credibly rep a flush. I think I must always shove the river to maximize the FE. However, one problem with shoving the river is when this guy (a nit) calls, his range is very strong.

      Continuing with my plan.
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