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[NL20-NL50] [FR] NL25 AKs 18.07

    • UnknownJoseph
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,754
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 7 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $40.99 (VPIP: 21.81, PFR: 15.96, 3Bet Preflop: 4.62, Hands: 192)
      SB: $13.18 (VPIP: 21.53, PFR: 14.75, 3Bet Preflop: 7.30, Hands: 345)
      BB: $29.88 (VPIP: 15.06, PFR: 10.42, 3Bet Preflop: 8.18, Hands: 261)
      UTG: $50.09 (VPIP: 22.63, PFR: 17.32, 3Bet Preflop: 4.50, Hands: 27,210)
      UTG+1: $10.10 (VPIP: 24.44, PFR: 14.44, 3Bet Preflop: 4.17, Hands: 183)
      Hero (MP): $45.91
      CO: $25.00 (VPIP: 16.47, PFR: 12.42, 3Bet Preflop: 4.87, Hands: 7,980)

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:heart: K:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.75, fold, BTN calls $0.75, fold, fold

      Flop: ($1.85, 2 players) K:diamond: Q:diamond: 3:club:
      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35, 2 players) 4:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $4.00, Hero calls $4.00

      River: ($12.35, 2 players) 4:club:
      Hero checks, BTN bets $7.50, fold


      what do you think about check calling turn and give up on the river?
      On the turn I don't have value bet so I decided to x/c and take some value from his floats.
      On the river I think that he wouldn't bluff. As we can see AF and AFq is much smaller on the riv so probably hits flush and value bets...
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      I think it's fine. If you had a blocker in your hand you could certainly consider calling down. He could definitely have some straight draw floats in his range still but I think it's fine to fold this.

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi mbml,

      We need 28.41% equity to BE. Apparently, we don't have enough equity to bluffcatch the river vs the following range that would bet on the river:

      Board: KdQd3c4d4c
      Equity Win Tie
      MP3 27.78% 16.67% 11.11% { AhKh }
      BU 72.22% 61.11% 11.11% { 33, KQs, JTs, Td9d, 9d8d, 8d7d, 7d6d, 6d5d, AKo }

      KQo is mostly always a 3bet bluff pre.
      QQ+ is a value 3bet so they are not in this guy's range.

      Yeah, maybe bluffcatching with A is better :) Seemed like an easy call from a first sight...

      Do you think I assigned a good river betting range? For me villain seems like an aggressive one...

    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795
      You should definitely be assigning villain a much wider range.

      Where's the AT, AJ, and A:dX ?