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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH K7o flop/turn spot - value shove?

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 3 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $25.08 (100.3 bb)
      BTN: $10 (40 bb)
      SB: $25.45 (101.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K 7
      BTN folds, SB raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.50) 7 K 3 (2 players)
      SB bets $0.90, Hero raises to $2.75, SB raises to $5.40, Hero calls $2.65

      Turn: ($12.30) 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $6, SB raises to $19.30, Hero calls $12.93 and is all-in

      River: ($50.16) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)


      SB was 27/23/11 over 827 - LAG weak regular.
      SB Stl - 36.
      CB: F - 63 (27) OoP.
      AG% - 43 (54/41/22).

      Cbets QQ on A63s F in a 3way pot
      R 2.5x K99s F in 3b pot BUvSB
      Calls with BD draws twice, does not bluff the river when misses
      Call 3bet with QTo IP COvBB, minR AA5s F

      Easy raise for value. Vs a 3bet I'm sure I'm ahead very often and I have 2 options - shove or call and allow him to bluff.
      I've won a couple of big hands in the same session vs this villain so I decided to call and let him bluff.

      I don't think villain 3bets the flop small with a FD so I'm still ahead. The problem is that I look like a FD and he may shutdown. Regardless, went for a value bet.

      Vs a raise it's a snapcall, right?

      I think I should just shove the flop and let him rage call me with some Kx or whatever :f_biggrin:
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Flop: Two things to consider here
      1. How often he's raising worse for value
      2. How often he's bluff raising

      If he thinks you are stacking off light, then I would not be surprised to see villain take KQ/AK/AA for thin value in a BvB situation.

      You mentioned the dynamics between both of you which could make his bluff 3betting range wider than usual.

      You also have the option of clicking it back which is what I'll often do.

      Turn: I prefer making it a little smaller (4-5$) and I'm definitely snap calling here. If you don't want to call a raise, don't bet in the first place.