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[NL20-NL50] [SH]Zoom NL25-AA

    • bosiati
      Joined: 23.05.2008 Posts: 697
      Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, Rush, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $34.21 (136.8 bb)
      MP: $42.20 (168.8 bb)
      CO: $26.30 (105.2 bb)
      BTN: $29.68 (118.7 bb)
      SB: $27.32 (109.3 bb)
      Hero (BB): $36.66 (146.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A A
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.75, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.75, MP calls $2

      Flop: ($5.60) Q 3 J (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.25, MP raises to $12.30, Hero raises to $33.91 and is all-in, MP calls $21.61

      Turn: ($73.42) 2 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($73.42) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)


      144hands, 18/12/3.4, Fto3b:100(2)
      FvFCb:29, 3bpot:100(1), Raise:0, AF:2.0, AFq(HM2):41
      WTSD:14, W$SD:50(2)

      I think call is not an option because there are a lot of bad turn.
      Flop fold can be good, because there are a lot of draws and it can be set. But if he plays like that with KK and AQ. I know they can't call very often, but with this fold equity and my euqity it will be +EV i think.

      What do you think?

  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Calling would definitely be an option, if not for his extremely huge Flop raise size. I think shipping here is fine. I'm not thrilled about it when you are 150bb deep but it's probably ok. You should sometimes run into KTs, or some spade draws and combo draws.

      If you are lucky, this guy may occasionally overplay a hand like AQ/KK as well.