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[NL20-NL50] [Fr] Nl25 Kk ex.02 18.07

    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,754
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: $24.70 (VPIP: 13.40, PFR: 9.43, 3Bet Preflop: 3.14, Hands: 2,947)
      BTN: $25.00 (VPIP: 16.27, PFR: 11.45, 3Bet Preflop: 9.72, Hands: 168)
      SB: $24.72 (VPIP: 46.67, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 16)
      BB: $44.95 (VPIP: 16.42, PFR: 12.41, 3Bet Preflop: 4.94, Hands: 7,854)
      Hero (UTG): $25.00
      UTG+1: $39.49 (VPIP: 16.62, PFR: 11.97, 3Bet Preflop: 2.95, Hands: 3,292)
      UTG+2: $28.30 (VPIP: 22.60, PFR: 17.29, 3Bet Preflop: 4.50, Hands: 27,068)
      MP: $21.23 (VPIP: 13.43, PFR: 4.31, 3Bet Preflop: 2.42, Hands: 608)
      MP+1: $19.32 (VPIP: 15.79, PFR: 6.43, 3Bet Preflop: 1.47, Hands: 173)

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has K:diamond: K:club:

      Hero raises to $0.75, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, SB calls $0.65, fold

      Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) 6:diamond: 7:spade: 8:club:
      SB checks, Hero bets $1.22, SB calls $1.22

      Turn: ($4.19, 2 players) 7:club:
      SB bets $0.80, Hero raises to $3.75, SB raises to $6.70, Hero calls $2.95

      River: ($17.59, 2 players) 8:diamond:
      SB bets $8.30, fold

      vs unknown fish

      let me understand maths...
      during that play I thought that I have enough IO but... let's see
      his line donk/3bet never is a bluff so vs bigger 3b I would def fold but I had to call just $2.95 to see the riv.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 6.29% 6.29% 0.00% KdKc
      MP3 93.71% 93.71% 0.00% 88-66, A7s, T9s, 87s, 76s, 54s, A7o

      probably fair range, am I right?

      I decided to call because I thought that I have correct IO to hit K on the riv.
      I expect to stack off when we hit K so our pot odds look:
      30.69-2.95=>> 10.4-1=>> 0.08=>> 8%
      we need to be good 8% of the time. We're going to win 6% of the time so even w/ IO we wouldn't be able to call...
      everything correct?
      let me know about mistakes..
      easy fold on the turn vs his 3b.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795
      Hi.

      It's a snap fold and you are never getting enough odds there if you think villain is never bluffing (which I think he's bluffing here 10% of the time at most).

      So this is an easy fold.

      Thanks.