[NL20-NL50] [FR] NL25 AKs 20.07

    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      Full Tilt - $0.25 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: $24.75 (VPIP: 14.53, PFR: 6.77, 3Bet Preflop: 1.39, Hands: 716)
      UTG+2: $42.37 (VPIP: 17.51, PFR: 11.30, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 179)
      MP: $52.92 (VPIP: 64.58, PFR: 41.67, 3Bet Preflop: 14.29, Hands: 49)
      MP+1: $27.92 (VPIP: 21.17, PFR: 13.45, 3Bet Preflop: 2.50, Hands: 1,925)
      CO: $15.20 (VPIP: 16.33, PFR: 8.16, 3Bet Preflop: 2.44, Hands: 101)
      BTN: $8.90 (VPIP: 19.40, PFR: 14.21, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 369)
      Hero (SB): $32.42
      BB: $21.02 (VPIP: 18.60, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 3.17, Hands: 507)
      UTG: $8.70 (VPIP: 18.74, PFR: 12.78, 3Bet Preflop: 6.77, Hands: 2,843)

      Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has A:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, MP raises to $0.75, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.00, fold, MP calls $2.25

      Flop: ($6.25, 2 players) 8:spade: 9:diamond: 7:diamond:
      Hero bets $4.00, MP raises to $12.70, Hero raises to $29.42 and is all-in, MP calls $16.72

      Turn: ($65.09, 2 players) T:club:

      River: ($65.09, 2 players) 8:club:

      mp



      I used Fold Eq Calculator to determine EV this play and it's ev+ but please check numbers.



      I put his range like that:

      Board: 9d7d8s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 39.73% 38.93% 0.80% { AdKd }
      MP3 60.27% 59.47% 0.80% { 77+, JTs, 98s, 87s, JTo }

      Probably fair range.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi UnknownJoseph,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I don't think we need to expect too much FE but this villain seems aggro/loose (he's raised a lot of cbets so far). So I can even see worse draws stacking off or making mistakes here.

      So you should add more hands in his range like worse FD's and even some OESDs.