[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 J8s

    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Black
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      BTN: $115.55 (231.1 bb)
      SB: $61.06 (122.1 bb)
      Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $54 (108 bb)
      MP: $53.47 (106.9 bb)
      CO: $56.60 (113.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 J
      3 folds, BTN raises to $1.25, SB folds, Hero calls $0.75

      Flop: ($2.75) 4 K A (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

      Turn: ($7.25) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN checks

      River: ($7.25) 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.50, BTN raises to $15.50, Hero ???


      BTN


      postflop



      This is so weird... He doesnt rep any valuehand, after checking turn he wont have flushes, twopairs, straight here most of the time.

      Maybe he can have 99/T:dX... I had such a nuts-or-nothing feeling about this raise, is it weak to just call, and see his bad bluff most of the time? Cause not many hands in his range that I beat AND could call a push, so I dont think I loose too much value here by calling.
  • 3 replies
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,329
      Hey duder1n0,

      Preflop defend is pretty loose.

      Flop call is fine.

      Turn check is fine.

      Opponent likely has a flush. Most guys not bluffing often enough here at these limits. Question is with which frequency he will raise/call a weaker flush. It's certainly possible that you have a value-jam here on river, but I also agree that you are not really losing a lot of value by just calling.
    • duder1n0
      duder1n0
      Black
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Originally posted by w34z3l
      Opponent likely has a flush.
      Yeah, but dont you expect him to barrel most of his flushdraws on the turn with his turn barrel frequency (70% so far)? Maybe not T:dX, but all other with no showdownvalue, even 4:dX.
    • w34z3l
      w34z3l
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,329
      Originally posted by duder1n0
      Yeah, but dont you expect him to barrel most of his flushdraws on the turn with his turn barrel frequency (70% so far)? Maybe not T:dX, but all other with no showdownvalue, even 4:dX.
      Yeah, I would. But I actually think it's more likely he checks back the turn with a flush-draw than he raises river without a flush. One or the other has to be true!

      Depends on his perception of you of course, if he feels you are strong he may check back draws even if he barrels a lot generally.

      If you think he is mainly just bluffing though, doesn't make that much sense to raise river.