[NL2-NL10] NL10 99 vs. reg

    • Laci24
      Laci24
      Gold
      Joined: 07.10.2009 Posts: 6,140
      Hi all!

      Villian is regular.


      Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players

      UTG+1: $9.15 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 4, 3B: 4, AF: 1,8, Hands: 545
      UTG+2: $5.97 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0,3, Hands: 40
      MP1: $12.01 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 19, 3B: 6, AF: 5,0, Hands: 114
      MP2: $4.05 - VPIP: 7, PFR: 7, 3B: 15, AF: 0,0, Hands: 54
      CO: $10.00 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 16, steal: 52, 3B: 3, AF: 2,4, flop cbet: 60, turn cbet: 38, WTSD: 33, W$SD: 72, Hands: 875
      BTN: $10.10 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 4,0, Hands: 144
      SB: $4.00 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 7, 3B: 0, AF: 1,3, Hands: 104
      Hero (BB): $10.15 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 5,4, Hands: 22751
      UTG: $9.85 - VPIP: 13, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 4,5, Hands: 155

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with 9 :spade: 9 :heart:
      5 folds, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65) Q :spade: 9 :club: 2 :heart: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.55, CO raises to $1, Hero calls $0.45

      Turn: ($2.65) 5 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.90, Hero raises to $2.40, CO raises to $3.90, Hero raises to $8.85, CO calls $4.80 all in

      River: ($20.05) 4 :club: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      What do you think about my line?
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Laci,

      Preflop: You are only showing poreflop stats and they are not as relevant (for example we don't even have his steal % in CO, or raise first).

      We would also need some postflop stats but anyway, given his line he is rarely bluffing imo and it's just getting cute with a set, most likely QQ.
    • Laci24
      Laci24
      Gold
      Joined: 07.10.2009 Posts: 6,140
      his steal stat: 52
      RFI from CO: 52
      flop cbet: 60
      turn cbet: 38
      AFq: 36, flop: 44, turn: 29
      WTSD: 33
      WTSD: 72
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Laci24
      his steal stat: 52
      RFI from CO: 52
      flop cbet: 60
      turn cbet: 38
      AFq: 36, flop: 44, turn: 29
      WTSD: 33
      WTSD: 72
      He has folded a ton to 3-bets so far so I think we can show a bigger profit 3-betting many hands preflop (as a bluff), and this may show more profit via a 3-bet.

      As far as the hand goes I still think that he is just getting cute with some made hand, set or maybe overpair.