[NL20-NL50] Nl50 Aq Oop

    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      UTG: $64.63 (129.3 bb)
      MP: $50.80 (101.6 bb)
      Hero (CO): $50.50 (101 bb)
      BTN: $51.94 (103.9 bb)
      SB: $53.07 (106.1 bb)
      BB: $50.97 (101.9 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A Q
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($3.75) J 9 A (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.81, BTN calls $2.81

      Turn: ($9.37) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $7.02, BTN calls $7.02

      River: ($23.41) 6 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $15.50, Hero ???

      Villain 22/16/ 3b 6.8/ 672hands
      fcbet 50 / 13 / 100(2) AF 1.1/ 1/ 7
      rcbet 7(28) betRiver 52(25) WTSD 27.

      ck/raised K95rb.w. QJo (btn-bb)
      3brl.in UTG.w. 44 on 225tt, Jx, 6x

      Villain has a very big bet river but a high fold cbet OTR (not enough situations to be very relevant) but combined with a high AF OTR makes me think he is the type who likes to bluff missed fd OTR.
      He's raise cbet is small but i still think he will raise sets at some points in the hand,given that fact i think he's range OTR is polarized between AJ,A9, J9 combos and missed fd.
      that's why i am more inclined between a close ck-call line vs bet folding.
      is my logic ok?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Yozan,

      I doubt his range is every strong there given the board. It's really connected and even if he slowplays the flop occasionally I doubt it gets past the turn. So other than A6 I don't see many hands we lose to. So we have an easy call imo.