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[NL2-NL10] AJo 072513-

    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.95)
      BB ($19.78)
      UTG ($10.56)
      UTG+1 ($4.20)
      UTG+2 ($11.36)
      MP1 ($10)
      MP2 ($16.96)
      CO ($10.23)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: A:club: , fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, SB raises to $0.80, fold, Hero calls $0.50

      FLOP ($1.70) T:spade: A:spade: 3:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.85, SB raises to $4.15 (AI), Hero calls $3.30
  • 3 replies
    • kymupa
      kymupa
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.10.2009 Posts: 22,364
      Hello,

      Considering his huge 3bet we can even go broke here as we probably have massive FE as well.

      On the flop I'd rather b/f.
      I think that most often we are going to run into better hands when he takes this line.

      Best,
      Plamen
    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      On the flop I'd rather b/f. I think that most often we are going to run into better hands when he takes this line.

      why? FD is in his range?

      Board: A:spade: T:spade: 3:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    38.79%  34.85%   3.94% { AcJd }
      MP3    61.21%  57.28%   3.94% { AA, TT, 33, ATs+, A3s, T3s, KsQs, KsJs, QsJs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, As9s, Ks9s, Qs9s, Js9s, Ts9s, As8s, Ks8s, Qs8s, Js8s, Ts8s, 9s8s, As7s, Ks7s, Qs7s, Js7s, Ts7s, 9s7s, 8s7s, As6s, Ks6s, Qs6s, Js6s, Ts6s, 9s6s, 8s6s, 7s6s, As5s, Ks5s, Qs5s, Js5s, Ts5s, 9s5s, 8s5s, 7s5s, 6s5s, As4s, Ks4s, Qs4s, 7s4s, 6s4s, 5s4s, Ks3s, Qs3s, 6s3s, 5s3s, 4s3s, As2s, Ks2s, Qs2s, ATo+, A3o }
    • Shevtshenko
      Shevtshenko
      Black
      Joined: 06.12.2009 Posts: 4,237
      Heyo,

      we can't assume he plays all flush draws like this. Also in your equity calculations it looks like you have all A X in there just as you have T X which both aren't in his range, since the A and the T are on the flop. The fact that both of those cards are on board already limits the amount of flush draws in villain's range significantly.