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[NL20-NL50] AJs

    • Natrilis
      Joined: 27.05.2009 Posts: 378
      IPoker, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $12.73 (63.7 bb)
      CO: $39.86 (199.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $20.60 (103 bb)
      SB: $33.39 (167 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with J A
      CO folds, Hero raises to $0.40, SB folds, BB raises to $1.20, Hero calls $0.80

      Flop: ($2.50) 2 9 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.74, BB calls $1.74

      Turn: ($5.98) 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($5.98) A (2 players)
      BB bets $6, Hero ?

      Villian 324h 15/12 3bet 6.7% 3bet BB vs BU 29.4%(17) Af-4 wtsd 11 w$sd 50

      Its good to call this river?
  • 2 replies
    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      I dont really like flop stab, especially with this size. It costs too much, and accomplishes very little. Few (if any) better hands would fold, even AQ/AK could easily ch/call once on this low and dry board, so we can only fold out worse hands mainly, and get called by better.

      We risk 1.74/2.5 ~ 70% of the pot, and even two live overcards like Q:sT only has ~30% equity in the pot. So not a great risk/reward ratio.

      Board: 9:club: 5:heart: 2:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     70.81%  70.81%   0.00% { AdJd }
      BB     29.19%  29.19%   0.00% { QsTs }

      River sucks, cause AQ/AK are definitely in his range, but as his preflop resteal range has been very wide so far, and maybe he could even try to bluff and rep the Ace with a hand like 77, I think I'd call here, but not happy about it.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      I would not stab flop too without a plan. U probably need to fire muliple times to fold villain out of AK and AQ.

      As played he does have many Ak AQ combos but i dont think u can fold here.