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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 T9s

    • DarkAwi
      DarkAwi
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $24.24 (48.5 bb)
      BTN: $138.33 (276.7 bb)
      SB: $29.13 (58.3 bb)
      Hero (BB): $54.58 (109.2 bb)
      MP: $112.15 (224.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 T
      2 folds, BTN raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, Hero calls $1

      Flop: ($4.50) J 5 7 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($4.50) Q (3 players)
      SB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, BTN calls $1.50

      River: ($9) K (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $5.84, BTN raises to $135.33 and is all-in, Hero ???

      BTN: http://pbrd.co/12vIrfv
      SB is a fish, 54/31

      Felt it pretty sick, I get 40% pot odds on the river, there is only a very little dead money, and I think his range is mostly T9, and AT, as I'd expect him to cbet TP+ because of the fish.
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: Jd5c7hQhKs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 68.75% 50.00% 18.75% { JJ, ATs, T9s, ATo, T9o }
      MP3 31.25% 12.50% 18.75% { Tc9c }

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com
      Board: Jd5c7hQhKs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 50.00% 36.36% 13.64% { JJ, ATs, KQs, T9s, ATo, KQo, T9o }
      MP3 50.00% 36.36% 13.64% { Tc9c }

      Depends on whether he would take such a strong line with KQ. If the answer is no, then this would be a fold. Maybe he doesn't slowplay JJ on the Flop either but I wouldn't be surprised.

      as weak as this sounds, maybe a river fold is better. of course if villain only had raised smaller on the River then this would be a snapcall

      Thanks.
    • Varune
      Varune
      Bronze
      Joined: 24.04.2009 Posts: 5,443
      Clear bet/fold to me. Don't see him bluffing here on the river, cuz your bet aint that 'deadmoney' imo.

      And i'd reckon if he were to bluff, he would make it alot smaller. But your range is alot of AT/T9 or 2p aswell, so a relative strong range, making him less likely to bluff.

      Plus you're calling at best for a split pot, so you win a little, or lose your entire stack.
    • DarkAwi
      DarkAwi
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 3,289
      Thanks, thought the same, and folded.