[NL20-NL50] NL50 99 UTGvsUTG+1, Turn

    • MJQuads
      MJQuads
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.01.2008 Posts: 379
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $50.00
      SB:
      $25.25
      BB:
      $49.65
      UTG1 (Hero):
      $50.00
      UTG2:
      $50.96
      MP1:
      $50.00
      MP2:
      $146.74
      MP3:
      $163.17
      CO:
      $18.96


      Preflop: Hero is UTG1 with 9, 9.
      Hero raises to $1.50, UTG2 calls $1.50, 4 folds, BU calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($5.25) 6, 6, 3 (3 players)
      Hero bets $3.00, UTG2 calls $3.00, BU calls $3.00.

      Turn: ($14.25) J (3 players)
      Hero checks, UTG2 bets $9.00, BU folds, Hero folds, UTG2 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $14.25.

      Villian is 13/11/4.7 (after 10k hands). Fold to flop cbet = 62%, flop raise = 6%, turn bet vs missed cbet = 32%

      I just don't see beating much here. I assume he flats all his premiums preflop in this spot, so I assume he mostly has 88+ here, AKS. It's ok to just give up?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,717
      Hi

      The other guy is important too. If the other guy is a fish, you can consider making a merge bet. Kind of a tricky spot though

      Bet and...
      1. Hope that the reg folds better (TT/JJ)
      2. Hope that the fish calls with worse (77/88/44/55/22/draws)

      if both are regs, I would just give up immediately.