[NL20-NL50] Sh50 - 98s 3b IP

    • chocular77
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102

      €0.25/€0.50 No Limit Holdem
      5 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG (€77.01) 154bb
      CO (€70.12) 140bb
      hero (BTN) (€71.35) 143bb
      SB (€48.57) 97bb
      BB (€49.25) 99bb

      Pre-Flop: (€0.75, 5 players) hero is BTN 9 8
      UTG raises to €1.43, 1 fold, hero raises to €5, 2 folds, UTG calls €3.57

      When playing this hand villain hat a very low Fto3B stat and a higher FtoCb in 3b pot stat.
      Samplesize got bigger and now the stats are not optimal anymore.

      Flop: 6 J T (€10.75, 2 players)
      UTG checks, hero bets €7, UTG calls €7

      After his pf call i put him on pocketpairs up to JJ and AQ/KQs hands.
      But looking at his stats now he should have a tighter range.
      I got the oesd and think i can make a profitable cbet.

      Turn: A (€24.75, 2 players)
      UTG checks, hero bets €14.50, UTG calls €14.50

      I think this is a good card to 2ndbarrel since he can still fold 77-99.
      Bet 14.5 so i can go allin if i hit the river.

      River: J (€53.75, 2 players)
      UTG checks, hero checks

      Final Pot: €53.75
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,717

      I'm not too sure how often 77-99 is calling on the Flop. It's an extremely bad flop to float with those hands, as hands like KQ/AK/AQ have overs+straight outs and are doing really well vs 77-99.

      I think the Turn is a really bad card to bet, because it improves AK/AQ/KQ. I would just give up.