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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AKo flop spot - weird SPR

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $30.11 (120.4 bb)
      BB: $17.98 (71.9 bb)
      UTG: $29.68 (118.7 bb)
      MP: $31.54 (126.2 bb)
      CO: $24.28 (97.1 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with K A
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.60, SB folds, BB raises to $2, Hero raises to $5, BB calls $3

      Flop: ($10.10) 8 Q 5 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero ???


      SB was 35/22/11 over 55
      FtCB: F - 67(6).

      Since I had left only a little over PSB I decided to shove as at the moment it seemed to me that if he x/shoves I'm committed regardless of the sizing I use. So I shoved for max FE vs JJ-TT.

      Board: Qc8c5d
      Equity Win Tie
      BU 36.47% 36.11% 0.36% { AhKc }
      SB 63.53% 63.18% 0.36% { QQ-TT, AQs-AJs, KQs, AQo-AJo, KQo }

      I suspect villain 4bets KK+/AK. Maybe a $4 could be enough to fold JJ-TT + I lose less when he does have Qx?

      So small bet or shove?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas888,

      Preflop: looks fine although, given he is shorter/fishy, you can 4-bet larger since we can expect a lot of calls (thus allowing us to have a PSB left).

      Postflop: I doubt he folds JJ/TT to either of the amounts you'd use, especially if you bet small. So I'd shove here and hope he folds a split or smaller pairs.

      The other options is to just take the free card.