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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AKo flop spot - facing a check/raise

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $45.03 (180.1 bb)
      SB: $46.15 (184.6 bb)
      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (CO): $25.70 (102.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A K
      MP folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) 9 K 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1, BB raises to $3, Hero calls $2

      Turn: ($7.60) 7 (2 players)
      BB bets $5, Hero calls $5

      River: ($17.60) K (2 players)
      BB bets $16.25 and is all-in, Hero folds


      BB was 21/18/5 over 153
      FtCB: F - 67(3)
      AG% - 28 (38/25/10)
      - Does not value bet thin
      - 3bet AKo COvMP

      Villain is a relative unknown + block loads of flush combos + I have no reason to suspect he could be bluffing = easy fold?

      Could villain be doing this with K:sx and now he's shoving it for value or am I being optimistic as always? :f_biggrin:
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi David,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: This is definitely an interesting spot.

      First I want to comment on your line. Does it really make sense to call flop/turn and fold river? Against your average passive regular you need to fold the river, but if you fold there can't we fold earlier?

      Most people do make up their mind on the turn to bluff river as well but that K is a pretty bad barrel card.

      But I think that given how most regs play (raise flop, bet turn, ck/give up river often) at this limit we have to make our decision on the flop or at the latest on the turn. So on the turn for me it's a raise or fold leaning more towards a fold given the info we have.