This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AKo river spot - value bet vs bluffcatching

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $161.44 (645.8 bb)
      BTN: $23 (92 bb)
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      BB: $27.44 (109.8 bb)
      Hero (MP): $25.35 (101.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with A K
      Hero raises to $0.85, CO folds, BTN calls $0.85, 2 folds

      Flop: ($2.05) 2 J A (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.50, BTN calls $1.50

      Turn: ($5.05) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.75, BTN calls $4.75

      River: ($14.55) 3 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $15.90 and is all-in, Hero folds

      -----

      BU was 28/6/0 over 37 - relative unknown
      AG% - 44 (50/33/50)

      FLOP/TURN
      Standard value bets - villain insta called both of them.

      RIVER
      Could I value bet this river? I think not as although villain does look fishy I think it's marginal as I have no blockers for a flush + he insta called which looked like a medium made hand or a flush.

      On the other hand, if I shove I think I could still get call from worse Ax and since I can't really bluffcatch vs this unknown it may be better to shove to fold out hands he would bluff with on the river?

      As played, villain almost insta-shoved after I checked. He didn't look smart enough to do this with a bluff. So good fold?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi David,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that we should bet the river. The only question is if we should ship it or bet smaller.

      I think it's close between the two but a shove may fold some of his Ax hands since the 3d is a pretty big scare card (2 draws complete). So betting 1/2 and folding is still an option.