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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 ATo river spot - vs insta minraise

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $32.97 (131.9 bb)
      BB: $25.01 (100 bb)
      UTG: $28.31 (113.2 bb)
      MP: $24.67 (98.7 bb)
      Hero (CO): $44.91 (179.6 bb)
      BTN: $22.20 (88.8 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with A T
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 2 J T (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.25, BTN calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) 6 (2 players)
      Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3

      River: ($10.35) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.75, BTN raises to $13.50, Hero folds


      BU was 35/20/0 over 179
      FtCB: F - 24, T - 29
      AG% - 34 (23/22/67)
      WTSD% - 38, W$SD - 60

      Making thin value bets. I figure it's more profitable to bet than to x/c.

      Went for a thin value bet and faced an insta minraise vs which I insta mucked :f_biggrin: and now I think that this may have been a mistake due to his high AG% OTR. The only value hand that I could beat is JT but he probably would have raised that before. I'm not sure how often if ever he bluffs this way OTR. So fold may be the safest option.
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi Dawidas888

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that your fold is fine and you may be reading too much in the river AG%. I'd be interested to see over what sample that is because it looks more like a 3-6-9 hand sample at best.