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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AQo 3bet pot - bluffcatching 2 streets

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
      BTN: $46.88 (187.5 bb)
      SB: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (BB): $26.25 (105 bb)
      UTG: $72.55 (290.2 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q A
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $2.25, BTN folds

      Flop: ($6.85) 5 3 9 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $3, Hero calls $3

      Turn: ($12.85) 5 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $5, Hero calls $5

      River: ($22.85) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $14.35 and is all-in, Hero folds

      -----

      CO was 20/16/4 over 536
      Ft3b - 64, 4b - 0(14)
      FtCB: F - 44, T - 20(5)
      Bet vs missed CB: F - 63(8)
      AG% - 39 (44/40/23)
      Notes:
      Call 3b with KQo BUvSB
      Call 3b with KTs COvBB, c 964s F with BDFD, shove on 4s T with FD + OC

      FLOP/TURN
      Flop is really ugly as position is very valuable and I have no backdoor draws.
      Given my notes that villain calls 3bets with broadways and does not fold them when he has BDFD I decided to bluffcatch for 2 streets.

      RIVER
      T may or may not have helped villain's range, but I'm not sure if I can profitably bluffcatch on this river. I don't think villain would shove something like AK or KT here so my AQ is probably good.
      However, villain never made a 4bet so his range is not really capped and therefore he should have enough value hands in his range (KK+) to be able to sometimes bluff OTR.

      Could/Should I fold this hand earlier?
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi

      I don't think taking a c/c line with AQ high in such spots OOP is going to ever be a good play vs a decent opponent. I would just treat this as a 6 outer draw and bet the Flop.

      It could be good vs a fish who has a really wide PF range and will often bluff only one or two streets.
    • confidant91
      confidant91
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 02.04.2011 Posts: 5,692
      Hi, does this change when you have AKo, do you have check calling vs regs on those boards?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      AK is essentially the same as AQ. Basically I would avoid checking and calling with such hands - It just creates a huge imbalance in your range and makes it really easy to play against you.

      If you do slowplay some big pairs from time to time, then it could be good. This prevents your opponents from being able to recklessly value bet a hand like TT or 88/98s for 3 streets in such a spot.