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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 65s flop/turn spots - floating

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $23.80 (95.2 bb)
      CO: $26.85 (107.4 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $48.71 (194.8 bb)
      SB: $26.30 (105.2 bb)
      BB: $60.11 (240.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with 5 6
      MP raises to $0.75, CO folds, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 5 2 7 (2 players)
      MP bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25

      Turn: ($4.35) K (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks

      River: ($4.35) 9 (2 players)
      MP bets $2, Hero folds


      MP was 19/16/3 over 960
      CB: F - 67
      AG% - 42 (44/48/28)
      WTSD - 30, W$SD - 41(34)

      Standard float.

      K hits villains range but given how aggressive villain is on the turn his check is usually to check/call as he would bet his trash hands.
      Decided to check/back my showdown value. My other options is to bet turn and shove river to get villain off QQ-TT (unlikely given villain WTSD/W$SD stat)

      If turn card was T or below I would have raised as a bluff or for value.

      Vs a small bet I wondered if I could raise and try to get villain of his hand? However, I figured I don't really rep much besides 99 so it doesn't make sense.

      Did I mess up OTF by not turning my hand into a bluff or OTT by not betting?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,796

      Villain does seem a little tight and 56s is pretty weak. I'm 3-betting or folding this hand here. Cutoff point for me would be 78s.

      Villain's line looks a lot like some TT/JJ type of hand so I think it's fine to fold here.