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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH - 89s vs aggro fish

    • suzukispeed
      Joined: 23.10.2012 Posts: 385
      PokerStars - €0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
      BTN: 76.2 BB (VPIP: 29.83, PFR: 22.71, 3Bet Preflop: 10.68, Hands: 298)
      Hero (SB): 100.5 BB
      BB: 97.9 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)

      Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 9:diamond: 8:diamond:

      fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, fold

      Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) 3:diamond: 2:heart: 9:spade:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 3.7 BB, Hero calls 3.7 BB

      Turn: (13.4 BB, 2 players) 5:club:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 9.8 BB, Hero calls 9.8 BB

      River: (33 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 60.2 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 60.2 BB

      BTN shows K:spade: T:club: (High Card, King) (Pre 60%, Flop 22%, Turn 14%)
      Hero shows 9:diamond: 8:diamond: (One Pair, Nines) (Pre 40%, Flop 78%, Turn 86%)
      Hero wins 146.5 BB

      He have 70% cbet flop and 67%(2/3) cbet Turn and one note that bet Turn w air . He bet 9.8 BB and then to look bigger I think . I think this is clear bluff , or set but may be he will play only 1-2 combos like this. What do u think?
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,333
      Hey Suzukispeed,

      Opponents river overbet is suspicious and I don't think your call is bad or anything.

      Standard option is probably to think about folding turn in these spots since opponent can still have better 9x, sets and overpairs.

      Generally speaking it's probably a good idea to give most overbets credit at the micros anyway even if they look suspect.