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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 AQo river spot - bluffcatching #2

    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $26.05 (104.2 bb)
      BTN: $16.31 (65.2 bb)
      Hero (SB): $52.82 (211.3 bb)
      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      MP: $31.60 (126.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A Q
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.75, BTN calls $0.75, Hero raises to $3, BB calls $2.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($7.50) 7 3 A (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks

      Turn: ($7.50) K (2 players)
      Hero bets $5.25, BB calls $5.25

      River: ($18) 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $8.75, Hero calls $8.75

      ------

      BB was 24/18/4 over 633
      FtCB: F - 27, T - 50
      Bet vs missed CB: F - 25(8)
      AG% - 30 (33/25/33)
      WTSD - 23, W$SD - 52

      FLOP
      Plan was to x/c as I would do the same with KK-JJ - no value in betting and I don't want to play for stacks.

      TURN
      I guess I should have checked again as I can't see worse hands that are calling me. From lower PPs I'm not gonna get more than 1 street of value so I could bet OTR.

      RIVER
      Villain made a quick bet - which usually = strong. In addition to that, his bet is really small. However, all draws missed.

      I am not sure if it's a profitable spot to bluffcatch.
  • 3 replies
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi David,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: Since he doesn't seem aggro (and hasn't really bet vs missed cbet much yet) why not just bet... you don't need to balance anything yet.

      It's just a waste of value in this spot.

      As played check turn again and on the river I would call as he can try a cheap bluff given our weak line.
    • Dawidas888
      Dawidas888
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Hi Bogdan,

      Thanks for the evaluation.

      I was thinking about this hand and when betting OTF our goal is mostly to get folds as there are very few weaker hands that are calling (maybe AJs - 3 combos), right? In this case, what is our plan on this turn (K)? Do we bet or do we check/call one street and fold OTR?

      Thanks!
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Originally posted by Dawidas888
      Hi Bogdan,

      Thanks for the evaluation.

      I was thinking about this hand and when betting OTF our goal is mostly to get folds as there are very few weaker hands that are calling (maybe AJs - 3 combos), right? In this case, what is our plan on this turn (K)? Do we bet or do we check/call one street and fold OTR?

      Thanks!
      Not really no. If he villain has TT-KK do you think he folds the flop?

      That's a big chunck of what he cold calls along with maybe some AK/AQ type hands.