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[NL20-NL50] Nl25 FR QJo

    • TheWinnerTakesItAll
      TheWinnerTakesItAll
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.01.2012 Posts: 1,187
      CO stats 41/30 AF:2 cbet F:91 WTSD:23 W$SD:33 after 81 hands.

      I raise flop as semibluff, because he has very wide cbetting range and I think he might fold 9x,Tx. When he calls on the flop I think he has mainly Ax in his range, but still he can have some Tx, JJ, QQ, KK, 78, QJ, J8s. So I barreled turn and when he calls I think he has Ax, 78, QJ, J8, of course he might have some sets, 2pairs.

      So it's worth barreling this river? I think he might fold Ax and he is folding 78, but probably is not very +EV without knowing if he is capable folding tp.


      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP1:
      $24.65
      MP2:
      $52.59
      MP3:
      $61.65
      CO:
      $49.51
      BU:
      $93.14
      SB:
      $29.95
      BB (Hero):
      $39.05
      UTG2:
      $24.60


      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q, J.
      4 folds, CO raises to $0.60, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.35.

      Flop: ($1.3) 9, A, T (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.85, Hero raises to $2.50, CO calls $1.65.

      Turn: ($6.3) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $4.00, CO calls $4.00.

      River: ($14.3) 7 (2 players)
      Hero ???
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      cutegoldfish
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335
      Hi,

      Flop - we have almost no fold equity on this board. To assume he folds any pair is too optimistic. AAnd we can also assume he is not folding top pair at any point in time. So I rather call to hit. Sometimes 2nd pair is good too.

      Turn - terrible bet. Same reasons as flop nothing is folding.

      River - definitely not betting here. He's a fish I don't think he's even folding 2nd pair here.