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[NL2-NL10] AKs 080213

    • nipbourne
      nipbourne
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.07.2009 Posts: 3,597
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.30)
      BB ($13.65)
      UTG ($11.64)
      Hero ($13.40)
      UTG+2 ($10.25)
      MP1 ($10)
      MP2 ($8.78)
      CO ($10)
      BTN ($7.42)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: A:spade: , fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.40, fold, BB calls $0.30

      FLOP ($1.25) 4:club: 7:diamond: A:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.93, BTN folds, BB calls $0.93

      TURN ($3.11) 4:club: 7:diamond: A:club: Q:club:

      BB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2.50

      RIVER ($8.11) 4:club: 7:diamond: A:club: Q:club: 8:heart:

      BB bets $9.82 (AI), Hero calls $9.57 (AI)
      55/13/4.8/40
  • 3 replies
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Hey N,

      This may sound weak but I think it's just a snap fold on the turn.

      Your hand cannot really improve against his range, unless you hit K. Apart from that, you are always beat by flushes and AQ, you have no chance to win. You need to assume he has bluffs on the turn but what hand calls flop after you cbet 3way and then bombs turn 135bb deep? Never a bluff imo, always value. Let's assume turn call is close and he could play some pair + club draw this way. Now he ships for 100bb almost on the river and it's also an overbet. Without a read that's never a bluff so against a relatively unknown opponent it's always a fold unless you have a good flush.
    • Asaf92
      Asaf92
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.11.2009 Posts: 104
      But Villain isn't unknown, he is a 55% VP$IP and looks like a gambler. Can't he hold a weaker ace?
    • EmanuelC16
      EmanuelC16
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Originally posted by Asaf92
      But Villain isn't unknown, he is a 55% VP$IP and looks like a gambler. Can't he hold a weaker ace?
      40 hands on him means we don't know much about his postflop tendencies specifically. He has a huge gap between VPIP and PFR so usually passive preflop. Passive preflop GENERALLY means likely passive postflop. AQ and club draws get there on the turn. Those are quite a few combos that beat us.. Now, some of the time he has some random bluff but the problem is for him to have it enough of the time.