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[NL20-NL50] [FR] NL50 AQo 02.08

    • UnknownJoseph
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,754
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG: 110.4 BB (VPIP: 22.98, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 4.33, Hands: 39,471)
      MP: 147.6 BB (VPIP: 27.52, PFR: 17.44, 3Bet Preflop: 7.19, Hands: 373)
      Hero (CO): 117.1 BB
      BTN: 113.1 BB (VPIP: 14.88, PFR: 10.85, 3Bet Preflop: 4.51, Hands: 724)
      SB: 99.3 BB (VPIP: 17.83, PFR: 9.68, 3Bet Preflop: 3.87, Hands: 12,979)
      BB: 122.1 BB (VPIP: 16.35, PFR: 13.72, 3Bet Preflop: 5.54, Hands: 42,756)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:heart: A:spade:

      fold, MP raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 5:diamond: 5:heart: 7:spade:
      MP bets 4 BB, fold


      I'm just wondering about this board. Can we do more than fold against this player? He is probably cbetting with his hole range and 2nd barrel on the turn too...
      so probably vs his range fold w/ AQ is a little bit to weak imo but I don't know how to play it on farther streets... so I prefer to make a small mistake on the flop by folding than make a big mistake when I would call down with out any plan
  • 3 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      1. How wide do you think villain is opening?
      2. What's your flatting range here? Are you folding too much vs Flop cbets? Remember that vs a 53% pot bet, he needs you to fold 34.6% of your range to make an immediate profit.
      3. Try calculating your equity vs a 100% Cbet range with AQ high on this Flop texture.

    • UnknownJoseph
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,754
      1. This player 27/18 isn't good enough to have dynamic rfi so probably don't adjust his range to the table.
      He opens from mp 22%
      Probably this is fair range:

      2. I would flat AQ-AT, KQ, PP, I'd add sc because when we hit we will have good implied odd.

      Probably I fold too much so when he c-bet he would have auto profit.

      Board: 5d5hJs
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 45.95% 41.90% 4.05% { AsQh }
      MP3 54.05% 50.01% 4.05% { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795
      1. Your sample is too small for the positional RFI to be accurate so you need to guess based on his PFR. My guess is that it's between 16-20%.

      2. AJ = KQ, KJ = AT. And I think you should flat all suited broadways, while folding hands like KTo and ATo and KJo. Anyway you could click all those hands on equilab, look at the % of starting hands you are playing. Then unclick all those hands you are folding and see what's left. That'll help you find out how many % of your hands you are folding.

      I think AQ is a pretty clear call here on this Flop.

      3. The board is 557 and not 55J. But anyway I do expect you to have around 40%+ equity vs a wide range.