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[NL20-NL50] [Fr] Nl50 Jj 02.08

    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 3 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      Hero (BB): 113.2 BB
      BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 22.97, PFR: 17.38, 3Bet Preflop: 4.37, Hands: 39,651)
      SB: 287 BB (VPIP: 37.11, PFR: 17.53, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 97)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J:spade: J:diamond:

      BTN raises to 3 BB, SB calls 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, SB calls 9 BB

      Flop: (27 BB, 2 players) 8:spade: 2:club: A:heart:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      Turn: (27 BB, 2 players) 5:spade:
      SB bets 18.9 BB, Hero calls 18.9 BB

      River: (64.8 BB, 2 players) 7:spade:
      SB checks, Hero checks

      sb




      Preflop: squeeze for value, iso player on the sb
      Flop: I don't see value here so pot control and see sd as much as possible.
      Turn: call any bet because we check to induce some bluffs on the turn.
      Plan on the river:
      fold to any bet because of his low AFq 22% we expect that he is only value bets river.
      River: as played
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi

      Call turn looks fine. I wouldn't fold the River though. I don't think you can just look at his AF and decide on whether he'll bluff the River or not. These guys often fire twice with air after you show weakness on the Flop.

      Thanks.
    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      how do you see this that this types of playes fire twice when see weakness?
      When this player bets on the river I would fold because I don't expect bluffs due to AFq stats.
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      It's just a population-based read. In general most of these fishy players tend to bluff twice which is why I am usually calling twice and folding to the 3rd barrel. Since you are IP and checked the flop, that's no longer possible.
    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      do you call any bet on the river?

      do you call even when flush competes on the riv?
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      I dont think hes having the flush too often. Thats just a really small % of his range unless u think he only leads turn w flushdraws.

      I would fold on a K or Q though.