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[NL20-NL50] NL50 AQo sqz pot.

    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181
      V is 20/16 3B 6 f3B 55/ AF 2
      fCb 50(4)/ 3Bpot 0(1)
      WTSD 44(16) 78hands.

      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
      UTG: $61.97 (123.9 bb)
      MP: $65.52 (131 bb)
      CO: $58.79 (117.6 bb)
      BTN: $54.15 (108.3 bb)
      SB: $93.78 (187.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A Q
      2 folds, CO raises to $1, BTN calls $1, SB calls $0.75, Hero raises to $6, CO folds, BTN calls $5

      Flop: ($14) 2 3 K (3 players)
      Hero bets $7, BTN calls $7

      Turn: ($28) T (3 players)
      Hero ???

      Co is a semi-fish reg. with low f3B percentage and loose CO open.
      Here villain is calling with SB left to act who is a fish so given this situation Villain range here is TT-22,AJ,KJ,KQ,some SC.
      So my question is this a spot to 2brl bluff on Tx Jx to throw Villain on pairs like 44-99?
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      The main question here is whether BU has those mid pocket pairs which would fold to a Turn barrel in the first place. If his range for calling the flop contains 99/88/77/JJ/TT then betting Turn would be good. If his range is mostly weighted towards KQ/KJs then I think you have an easy give up here.

      1. Low VPIP/PFR = Generally tighter tendencies
      2. Low F3B = Wider range
      3. FCb = 2 out of 4 - Doesn't say much
      4. WTSD = 44% is really wide, indicates that he may be calling loose.

      Overall I think it's pretty close and I'm kind of torn for this spot. Probably have a slight preference for making a small bet of $10. This small bet is cheap (only needs to work 10/38 times) and also allows you to put a ton of pressure.
    • Yozan
      Joined: 01.01.2010 Posts: 2,181