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[NL20-NL50] [FR] NL50 AQs 03.08

    • UnknownJoseph
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,754
      Full Tilt - $0.50 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: 87 BB (VPIP: 19.90, PFR: 11.43, 3Bet Preflop: 5.48, Hands: 1,781)
      MP: 101.5 BB (VPIP: 17.96, PFR: 9.73, 3Bet Preflop: 3.89, Hands: 13,460)
      MP+1: 40 BB (VPIP: 14.91, PFR: 12.45, 3Bet Preflop: 6.09, Hands: 6,774)
      CO: 155.8 BB (VPIP: 31.54, PFR: 13.62, 3Bet Preflop: 1.83, Hands: 282)
      BTN: 181.5 BB (VPIP: 17.73, PFR: 11.66, 3Bet Preflop: 3.25, Hands: 9,248)
      SB: 67.5 BB (VPIP: 9.21, PFR: 5.70, 3Bet Preflop: 1.00, Hands: 233)
      Hero (BB): 108 BB
      UTG: 118.4 BB (VPIP: 17.47, PFR: 10.23, 3Bet Preflop: 2.74, Hands: 8,811)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:club: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 7:diamond: Q:spade: T:club:
      Hero checks, MP+1 bets 4.5 BB, Hero calls 4.5 BB

      Turn: (15.5 BB, 2 players) 4:spade:
      Hero checks, MP+1 bets 8 BB, Hero calls 8 BB

      River: (31.5 BB, 2 players) K:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP+1 bets 24.5 BB and is all-in, fold


      Preflop: I don't want to 3bet him because probably I would fold vs his ship. AQs probably is too good to fold preflop against 16% rfi so I call.
      This play is ok?
      I'm asking because I've change a little my habit. Looks more about rfi, Fv3b stats and what my 3bet would accomplish...
      so probably 3bet would nothing accomplish but still is good vs his rfi...


      RFI range:

      I expect this player cbet with this range on this board:

      easy call

      Turn: I expect 2nd barrel with:
      Board: Qs7dTc4s
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 48.18% 40.74% 7.44% { AQs }
      MP3 51.82% 44.38% 7.44% { QQ+, TT, 77, AQs, KQs, QTs+, KsJs, AQo, KQo, QJo }

      so again call...

      River: is really sucks so we can't call it but on the blunk river lets say:
      Board: Qs7dTc4s2d
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 34.18% 34.18% 0.00% { AQs }
      MP3 65.82% 65.82% 0.00% { QQ+, TT, 77, KQs, QTs, KsJs, KQo }

      pot odds are 2.29-1 30% so we have to call even when river bet isn't never a bluff...
      am I right?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Preflop: Looks like a pretty standard call to me. If we assume the standard player folds 50% to 3bets (this number is probably 60-70% at your limit), 3-betting mostly folds out worse hands and isolates you vs better hands

      River: Hmm I think the fold is fine. You lose to KQ and AJ and KJs now