[NL2-NL10] NL5 SH Zoom - AKo

    • TJtheTJ
      TJtheTJ
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.10.2011 Posts: 6,583
      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $6.47 (129.4 bb)
      SB: $15.37 (307.4 bb)
      Hero (BB): $5.31 (106.2 bb)
      UTG: $7.21 (144.2 bb)
      MP: $9.23 (184.6 bb)
      CO: $6.75 (135 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with A K
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.10, CO calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, MP folds, CO calls $0.35

      Flop: ($1.02) K 9 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.60, CO raises to $1.80, Hero raises to $4.86 and is all-in, CO calls $3.06

      Turn: ($10.74) K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($10.74) J (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Villain is 25/18 over 58 hands.

      Fairly standard squueze spot pre? I don't really want to play AK here out of position in a multiway pot without initiatve.

      As played, should I fold to his flop raise? Considering how passively he played pre flop, I don't think he'll have AA/KK here very often. So when he raises on this flop, I think the only thing he can really rep here that beats me is 99 or 55, and 55 could certainly fold to a 3bet.

      So I think he has a lot of hands like combo draws in his range here as well, or worse Kx. I'm also pretty sure he is willing to go broke here with all his combo draws if he raises them like this, so I decided to just get it in and hope for the best.

      Would it be reasonable to give him a raise/calling range like this? Do you think he'll have much of a raise/folding range here?

      99,55,AKs,KJs+,QdJd,QdTd,JdTd,8d7d,7d6d,AKo,KQo

      Against this range I have 57% equity so it should be a pretty easy value shove. Maybe he has a few Axs in there as well which will increase my equity a tiny bit more, but nothing noticable.

      If he folds his weaker Kx and only calls AK (and of course KQdd/KJdd if he calls that pre), my equity drops to a bit over 52%, making it a bit closer.

      What do you think is best here?
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi TinoLaan,

      Preflop: looks fine

      Postflop: I think that stacking off is fine but the range you gave him seems a bit loose. Afterall he called a min raise and then a 3-bet so hands like KJ are a bit optimistic.