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[NL20-NL50] [SH] ZOOM NL50 tough spot with middle set

    • maritsula
      maritsula
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.12.2011 Posts: 905
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $48.50 (97 bb)
      SB: $71.29 (142.6 bb)
      BB: $53.53 (107.1 bb)
      UTG: $50 (100 bb)
      Hero (MP): $96.90 (193.8 bb)
      CO: $63.70 (127.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with Q Q
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 3 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: ($3.25) K Q T (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB raises to $9.50, Hero calls $6.50

      Turn: ($22.25) 5 (2 players)
      BB bets $21, Hero folds

      Villain is u/k. 0/9 times 3b
      47/16 out of 16 hands



      Well on the flop when I pot it and he makes it 3x I believe he is super strong

      Possible Combos:
      3 KK

      3 TT
      3 KQ
      9 KT
      3 QT

      12 AJ
      12 J9


      We can rule out KK (3bet pre) and most of two pair combos as i doubt he plays two pairs that way

      So in the end I think it was 24 combos of straights vs at most 10 combos we have beat

      Should I also include any oesd + fd combos?
  • 3 replies
    • circoflax
      circoflax
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.02.2010 Posts: 413
      I think you can exclude QQ from his range for a little small reason :P

      Against unknown who looks kinda fishy I usually take my chances on the flop. I think you are better than flipping against his whole range (since he looks fishy he can have all the 2 pair combos I think). If you think he never stacks of with 2pair on the flop, then calling is clearly better.

      As played, I think I'd to fold the turn too...
    • maritsula
      maritsula
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.12.2011 Posts: 905
      Originally posted by circoflax
      I think you can exclude QQ from his range for a little small reason :P

      Against unknown who looks kinda fishy I usually take my chances on the flop. I think you are better than flipping against his whole range (since he looks fishy he can have all the 2 pair combos I think). If you think he never stacks of with 2pair on the flop, then calling is clearly better.

      As played, I think I'd to fold the turn too...
      haha:P

      Oops!

      Not sure if i like stacking off on the flop. his big x/r is very strong. I doubt he plays two pairs like that
    • BogdanPS
      BogdanPS
      Basic
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      hi maritsula,

      I would also remove some J9 combos and these guys overvalue all 2p/sets here so I'd count them all.

      I think that pair+draw may also occasionally raise and since we almost always have top set here I don't mind stacking off. Even if we are behind to a straight we still have equity.