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[NL20-NL50] 88 vs sqz

    • GingerKid
      Joined: 05.08.2007 Posts: 5,592
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 117.36 BB (VPIP: 52.17, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
      SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 60.87, PFR: 56.52, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 25)
      BB: 46.5 BB (VPIP: 22.73, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
      UTG: 238.98 BB (VPIP: 32.50, PFR: 22.50, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 82)
      Hero (MP): 185.56 BB
      CO: 130.02 BB (VPIP: 3.45, PFR: 3.45, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8:heart: 8:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, SB raises to 13 BB, fold, Hero raises to 28 BB, fold, fold

      I was ready to play vs him for stacks. I know that the sample is small, but because big VPiP and PFR i can conclude that he is aggro fish. IS it too light since I dont know if I have FE vs him?

      I think this is probably not +EV move, but not also big -EV, my intention was to see if he is able to fold, and if he goes all in if I can see bad cards from him, so in future that I can make more money vs him if he is huge fish
  • 1 reply
    • BogdanPS
      Joined: 12.05.2010 Posts: 27,588
      Hi GingerKid,

      Preflop: 25 hands is not a sample unless he's done some crazy stuff.

      However, pocket pairs (and some suited aces/broadways) are not terrible to 4-bet with in spots like this because they have the highest equity versus a potential shove range.

      I also think that 100 BB deep your 4-bet is slightly too big.

      So while this is most likely not super +ev is probably better than folding. High variance short term and if you tilt easily you want to avoid these.