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[NL20-NL50] QJs - River

    • MisterSnS
      Joined: 09.11.2011 Posts: 1,752
      CO: $44.95 (VPIP: 25.71, PFR: 20.57, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 179)
      BTN: $12.50 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 32.10, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 86)
      SB: $20.10 (VPIP: 28.95, PFR: 26.32, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 38)
      Hero (BB): $20.70
      UTG: $19.09 (VPIP: 21.82, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 55)
      MP: $20.60 (VPIP: 29.41, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.30) Hero has Q:heart: T:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.40, fold, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.90, 2 players) K:spade: 3:spade: Q:spade: Hero checks, BTN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

      Turn%s: ($1.90, 2 players) 6:diamond: Hero checks, BTN checks

      River%s: ($1.90, 2 players) 4:club: Hero checks, BTN bets $1.60, Hero ???

      Villain is almost unknown, got no reads or great history with him. This far he cbetted every flop, so I decided to just call, with the plan of calling another street and then c/f the river.

      As he checks the turn behind and then bets the river really large, nothing but 44 and a strangely slowplayed flush makes sense. But the question is, if we are able to bluffcatch to a good amount of the time in order to make this play profitable ?( Hard to say... I called because he reps actually nothing but
  • 2 replies
    • MisterSnS
      Joined: 09.11.2011 Posts: 1,752
      - double post.
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Flop: This depends on villain. If villain is the type of guy to cbet cautiously on monoFlops, then you should just fold 2nd pair here. If this guy cbets 100% of his range anyway, then you have an easy c/c here.

      River: I don't think people take this bet check bet line too often with air so you can make an exploitable fold. But if you think villain is creative or fishy, you can consider calling here. Fishes tend to bluff like that pretty often, and creative villains know that they need to balance this bet check bet line with some air.