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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 JTo flop spot - thin value shove

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $10.10 (40.4 bb)
      BB: $29.51 (118 bb)
      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $30.82 (123.3 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $25 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with T J
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB calls $0.40, BB folds

      Flop: ($1.25) J 2 2 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, SB raises to $2.25, Hero calls $1.50

      Turn: ($5.75) 4 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.75, Hero raises to $8.50, SB calls $5.60 and is all-in

      River: ($20.45) 9 (2 players, 1 is all-in)


      SB was 25/20/10 over 52
      FtCB: F - 0(2)
      AG% - 63 (60/50/100)

      Should I just shove here? I don't expect villain to raise with a better Jx and he doesn't have many combos of 2x either so it's most likely a semi-bluff with a draw.

      Given this information is it better to shove OTF for max value vs draws or is it better to call OTF and shove over his bet OTT?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,796

      It's close between calling Turn and shoving Turn. But calling Turn definitely >>> 3-betting the Flop. Your kicker is pretty weak and if he's raising a merged range of QJ+, 2X and flush draws, that's not a good range to get it in against.

      Since there are two flush draws, your line is probably best.

      Nice hand.