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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL50 KK vs turn raise

    • duder1n0
      Joined: 07.07.2009 Posts: 5,335
      Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players

      Hero (UTG): $52.54 (105.1 bb)
      MP: $83.75 (167.5 bb)
      CO: $23.94 (47.9 bb)
      BTN: $50 (100 bb)
      SB: $63.91 (127.8 bb)
      BB: $3.05 (6.1 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with K K
      Hero raises to $1.50, 2 folds, BTN calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds

      Flop: ($5) Q 3 2 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3, BTN calls $3, SB folds

      Turn: ($11) 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $7, BTN raises to $18, Hero calls $11

      River: ($47) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $27.50 and is all-in, Hero calls $27.50

      BTN 25/22/12 after 510 hands
      BTN callopen 22%
      foldtoCbet F/T 33/50
      raisecbet turn 33% (1/3)
      AFq F/T/R 56/42/40
      wtsd/w$sd 35/22

      summary notes:
      - peels flop light
      - capable of oop floating
      - can be induced with min5betting (min6bet/folds 135bb deep)

      Is it OK to calldown against him? He is repping very narrow, and we are at the top of our range. Plus based what I have seen from him so far (stats, notes), I think he is capable of running a bluff like this. Against a tight, nitty guy, I would rather fold here.
  • 1 reply
    • EmanuelC16
      Joined: 02.01.2010 Posts: 13,909
      Hi D,

      AFq F/T/R 56/42/40
      wtsd/w$sd 35/22

      These stats tell us a few things:

      a) he is aggressive postflop, since his AFq is definitely on teh higher side
      b) he gets called often so people didn't believe his lines
      c) he lost when he got called so he has weak hands at showdown.

      A player who is aggressive, gets called down and loses at showdowns generally bluffs too much so I think your idea here of calling down is good. Nh, wp!