[NL20-NL50] AQ top two vs nuts

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,722
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 191.4 BB (VPIP: 28.47, PFR: 24.82, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 143)
      SB: 335 BB (VPIP: 20.92, PFR: 17.23, 3Bet Preflop: 7.25, Hands: 333)
      BB: 64.72 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 37.50, 3Bet Preflop: 27.27, Hands: 25)
      Hero (UTG): 131.46 BB
      MP: 46 BB (VPIP: 20.44, PFR: 17.23, 3Bet Preflop: 8.16, Hands: 696)
      CO: 100 BB (VPIP: 19.71, PFR: 14.49, 3Bet Preflop: 6.21, Hands: 361)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q:heart: A:heart:

      Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) Q:club: 8:spade: A:club:
      Hero bets 5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB

      Turn: (17.5 BB, 2 players) T:diamond:
      Hero bets 10 BB, BTN raises to 27 BB, Hero calls 17 BB

      River: (71.5 BB, 2 players) 2:diamond:
      Hero checks, BTN bets 156.4 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 96.46 BB and is all-in

      It is somehow clear that I am beat, I dont think that people bluff raise on Axx vs utg, I think I could hope for split in the best. So fold ?
      He repps 88, AQ, I am not sure if he raises AT (which was basically my only hope, or that he wants to donate money). Also, I am not sure if he calls KJ flop, and preflop, it must be then KJs (4 combos only).

      So I felt, If I fold top two, he could exploit me massive, but surely he is not going to exploit me on this board, so I think it is fold.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,717

      This is a really tough one. Especially because you are deep and if you think villain doesn't get too out of line, you should fold here. He has a ton of value combos here like J9s (4 combos), KJ (4-16 combos), TT (3 combos), 88 (3 combos).

      Of course vs aggro guys this is a snap call.