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[NL2-NL10] nl2 sh 79s 2 pair flop

    • Jim4rdo
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252

      Villain is a reg, I felt I could play IP quite well against him.

      AF of 6.3 on the flop, cbets 79% of the time.

      Feel that a lot of his range he is going to bet the flop, but as he bet almost pot this seemed more like a made hand that he's tying to protect against draws rather than a drawing hand where he wants money in the pot.

      Raising him might make him want to fold overpairs, and i have outs to improve here?

      Can we go broke on this?


      Full Tilt - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP: $2.58 (VPIP: 17.37, PFR: 15.57, 3Bet Preflop: 5.97, Hands: 175)
      CO: $1.37 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
      Hero (BTN): $2.08
      SB: $1.76 (VPIP: 34.38, PFR: 15.63, 3Bet Preflop: 7.41, Hands: 64)
      BB: $2.37 (VPIP: 15.79, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
      UTG: $2.48 (VPIP: 10.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.03) Hero has 7:heart: 9:heart:

      fold, MP raises to $0.07, fold, Hero calls $0.07, fold, BB calls $0.05

      Flop: ($0.22, 3 players) T:spade: 7:club: 9:club:
      BB checks, MP bets $0.18, Hero raises to $0.56, fold, MP raises to $2.51 and is all-in, Hero calls $1.45 and is all-in

      Turn: ($4.24, 2 players) 3:spade:

      River: ($4.24, 2 players) A:spade:
  • 2 replies
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Rule of thumb: Don't raise something for value if you're not willing to go broke with it.
      This applies to most things and most streets.

      Preflop example: MP opens, you have JJ in the BTN. Should you value 3-bet? If you want to fold to a 4-bet, then you shouldn't 3-b in the first place.

      You need to be absolutely certain that he'll
      1. Call with a ton of worse hands
      2. Rarely 4-bet a worse hand
      In order to justify a raise/folding line.

      Here I think it's fine at NL2 cos NL2 players tend to overplay their medium strength hands. Vs more solid players at higher limits I probably wouldn't raise this cos people are just not going crazy with AA here.

    • Jim4rdo
      Joined: 03.10.2010 Posts: 1,252
      Thanks for explanation mbml, much appreciated. Also learnt lots from your coaching vids on here, so thanks for those too!