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[NL2-NL10] fold river?

    • Naghini
      Naghini
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.08.2013 Posts: 127
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.95)
      BB ($5.46)
      Hero ($6.78)
      UTG+1 ($3.65)
      CO ($4.31)
      BTN ($4.98)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: J:heart:

      Hero raises to $0.15, UTG+1 calls $0.15, CO calls $0.15, fold, fold, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.62) 5:spade: 5:diamond: A:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.45, UTG+1 folds, CO folds, BB calls $0.45

      TURN ($1.52) 5:spade: 5:diamond: A:heart: 4:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.90, BB calls $0.90

      RIVER ($3.32) 5:spade: 5:diamond: A:heart: 4:diamond: K:diamond:

      BB bets $1, Hero calls $1

      BB shows Q:club: 5:club:
      (Pre 40%, Flop 91.1%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows A:spade: J:heart:
      (Pre 60%, Flop 8.9%, Turn 4.5%)

      BB wins $5.10

      his playing 17/14 very aggresive on the river... i was thinking to check it anyway .. but that small bet made me call
  • 5 replies
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Think abt villains preflop calling range. He seems tight over a small sample.

      How many streets of value do u have here? Should u bet the turn?
    • MarliesB
      MarliesB
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.04.2013 Posts: 685
      Hi,

      do you think we should check the turn back because we are afraid of suited connectors / one-gappers with a 5 and perhaps A5?
      Or can we bet for value from flushdraws like suited aces which called the flop. On NL5 I think he can have AT/A9 too sometimes.
    • Sadikson
      Sadikson
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.08.2011 Posts: 3
      i think betting flop and turn are the best option , specially against a 'new player' but i think if your sample size isover 200 , you can find the fold with his stats , probably the call in the river is fine , just take a note that he won't reraise the flop or turn with trips ...,,, i don't think you can fold this otherwise""

      what about folding aj off under the gun untill you have a better idea of tendencies....
    • mbml
      mbml
      Black
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,779
      Hi.

      Do u think people play more combinations of AQ and AK, or A2s-ATs?

      Im not afraid of 5Xs hands too much but i just dont see villain calling u thrice with enough worse hands
    • MarliesB
      MarliesB
      Bronze
      Joined: 13.04.2013 Posts: 685
      You're right but we can check the river then since we're in position