[NL2-NL10] 5NL SH QQ on paired board v megafish

    • ChangNoi77
      ChangNoi77
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.06.2012 Posts: 352
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($4.73)
      BB ($5)
      UTG ($5.03)
      UTG+1 ($4.79)
      Hero ($16.90)
      BTN ($7.92)

      Dealt to Hero Q:club: Q:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, fold

      FLOP ($0.50) 3:club: 3:diamond: 6:spade:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.32, BTN calls $0.32, SB raises to $0.70, Hero calls $0.38, BTN folds

      TURN ($2.22) 3:club: 3:diamond: 6:spade: 2:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $1.43, SB calls $1.43

      RIVER ($5.08) 3:club: 3:diamond: 6:spade: 2:diamond: J:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $14.62 (AI), SB calls $2.45 (AI)

      Hero shows Q:club: Q:diamond:
      (Pre 73%, Flop 8.9%, Turn 4.5%)

      SB shows 3:spade: K:heart:
      (Pre 27%, Flop 91.1%, Turn 95.5%)

      SB wins $9.57

      Villain is a 48/6 fish, Agg Freq 64% over 49 hands.

      I thought this was all for value. When he checks the turn I think it's a lot less likely he can have a 3, I'm definately not folding the flop vs this guy.
      Are we going for value on the river?
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