[NL2-NL10] 5NL SH Turn bluff with flush draw

    • ChangNoi77
      Joined: 27.06.2012 Posts: 352
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.08)
      BB ($2.36)
      UTG ($5)
      UTG+1 ($9.66)
      CO ($2.83)
      Hero ($12.99)

      Dealt to Hero 9:club: A:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.10, fold, BB calls $0.05

      FLOP ($0.22) 7:spade: 4:spade: 2:spade:

      BB bets $0.21, Hero calls $0.21

      TURN ($0.64) 7:spade: 4:spade: 2:spade: 6:diamond:

      BB bets $0.61, Hero raises to $12.68 (AI), BB calls $1.44 (AI)

      RIVER ($4.74) 7:spade: 4:spade: 2:spade: 6:diamond: 2:club:

      BB shows J:spade: T:spade:
      (Pre 46%, Flop 71.1%, Turn 84.1%)

      Hero shows 9:club: A:spade:
      (Pre 54%, Flop 28.9%, Turn 15.9%)

      BB wins $4.54

      Villain is a 23/13 reg, donks 63% of the time, over 161 hands.

      I think donks are usually weak, especially on mono and paired boards at these stakes.

      Am I right in assuming he can have enough weak pairs such as 7x to give us enough FE on the turn?
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