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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 99 turn spot - drawing with a set

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $7.98 (31.9 bb)
      SB: $20.30 (81.2 bb)
      Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $25.35 (101.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 9
      CO raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.50

      Flop: ($1.60) 7 9 J (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $1, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $2

      Turn: ($7.60) T (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $5.75, Hero calls $5.75

      River: ($19.10) 4 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO checks


      CO was 23/18/6 over 351
      CB: F - 67, T - 57.
      AG% - 41 (48/43/18)

      I have 20% equity with 10 outs if I'm behind and I'm getting 30% equity to call. I figured I could also sometimes be ahead vs 2pairs or some random hands that decided to float the flop and bluff OTT.

      Is my call correct in this spot? I think I have some implied odds, but they are low as my draw is somewhat obvious. If I hit OTR, I suppose I'm shoving myself as I don't expect this villain to bluff often enough to justify a check + he could make a crying call with a flush.

      Easy check/fold.
  • 1 reply
    • cutegoldfish
      Joined: 19.11.2009 Posts: 4,335

      Flop - raise here is way too small on this board. Make it around 5 dollars.

      Turn - as played check call is fine. I'll jam the river if we hit I don't expect hhim to bet any rivers as a bluff and a straight will probably call us but may not bet. And we could possibly be still ahead here.