This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL2-NL10] 5NL SH AA over pair, missed value on river?

    • ChangNoi77
      ChangNoi77
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.06.2012 Posts: 352
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.76)
      BB ($8.29)
      Hero ($5)
      CO ($5.11)
      BTN ($6.46)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.15, fold, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.60) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club:

      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.39, BTN calls $0.39, SB folds, BB folds

      TURN ($1.38) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club: 8:spade:

      Hero bets $0.70, BTN calls $0.70

      RIVER ($2.78) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club: 8:spade: 7:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Hero shows A:club: A:diamond:
      (Pre 85%, Flop 82.4%, Turn 88.6%)

      BTN shows J:diamond: Q:heart:
      (Pre 15%, Flop 17.6%, Turn 11.4%)

      Hero wins $2.66

      Villain is 33/21 over 81 hands.

      Once the draw misses and the 7 pairs should I still be betting this river? I'm calling anything up to a pot size bet once I check, but I'm not sure what range to put him on for calling pre. Does he have enough Qx that he calls a river bet with? After 81 hands his WTSD of 47% and W$SD of 44% can't be very accurate.
  • 1 reply