[NL2-NL10] 5NL SH AA over pair, missed value on river?

    • ChangNoi77
      Joined: 27.06.2012 Posts: 352
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.76)
      BB ($8.29)
      Hero ($5)
      CO ($5.11)
      BTN ($6.46)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: A:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.15, fold, BTN calls $0.15, SB calls $0.13, BB calls $0.10

      FLOP ($0.60) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club:

      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $0.39, BTN calls $0.39, SB folds, BB folds

      TURN ($1.38) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club: 8:spade:

      Hero bets $0.70, BTN calls $0.70

      RIVER ($2.78) 7:diamond: Q:club: 4:club: 8:spade: 7:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Hero shows A:club: A:diamond:
      (Pre 85%, Flop 82.4%, Turn 88.6%)

      BTN shows J:diamond: Q:heart:
      (Pre 15%, Flop 17.6%, Turn 11.4%)

      Hero wins $2.66

      Villain is 33/21 over 81 hands.

      Once the draw misses and the 7 pairs should I still be betting this river? I'm calling anything up to a pot size bet once I check, but I'm not sure what range to put him on for calling pre. Does he have enough Qx that he calls a river bet with? After 81 hands his WTSD of 47% and W$SD of 44% can't be very accurate.
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