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[NL20-NL50] 78s vs fish donk

    • mlatasrb
      Joined: 01.04.2012 Posts: 2,741
      PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 139.52 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
      SB: 399.64 BB (VPIP: 17.99, PFR: 12.64, 3Bet Preflop: 5.78, Hands: 750)
      BB: 110.4 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 42.86, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
      UTG: 24.88 BB (VPIP: 15.00, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)
      MP: 176.76 BB (VPIP: 55.56, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
      Hero (CO): 244 BB

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 7:diamond: 8:diamond:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB

      Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 5:heart: 5:club: 6:diamond:
      BB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB

      Turn: (14.5 BB, 2 players) T:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets 10 BB, BB calls 10 BB

      River: (34.5 BB, 2 players) 9:spade:
      BB bets 22 BB, Hero calls 22 BB

      BB shows T:heart: A:heart: (Two Pair, Tens and Fives) (Pre 61%, Flop 51%, Turn 82%)
      Hero shows 7:diamond: 8:diamond: (Straight, Ten High) (Pre 39%, Flop 49%, Turn 18%)
      Hero wins 74.96 BB

      I am not sure on river, if call is good? I almost foldet, but somehow I couldnt fold straight vs fish. Somehow I thought it is FH for sure, when he donks river, since there are no busted draws.

      Maybe he could do it with JJ+, and donk river, so I can call becuse of that with straight?
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      Even considering the option of folding is ridiculous imo, as harsh as it sounds. You're getting like 28% pot odds approximately, and you are winning here with a call at least 80%+ of the time. That's how big of a mistake folding would be.

      I am torn between raising and calling. A little concerned with the board pairing. What does villain rep here? 78/97/89, maybe some goofy bluff, maybe 99. Remember that over a small sample, this guy appears to be an aggro fish.

      Making a small raise to 50bb could be good.