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[NL20-NL50] [SH] NL25 QTo river spot - folding to a donk bet

    • Dawidas888
      Joined: 22.06.2009 Posts: 826
      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $25 (100 bb)
      CO: $14.21 (56.8 bb)
      BTN: $26.93 (107.7 bb)
      SB: $20.85 (83.4 bb)
      BB: $54.40 (217.6 bb)
      Hero (UTG): $25.35 (101.4 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is UTG with T Q
      Hero raises to $0.75, 3 folds, SB calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

      Flop: ($2.25) A K J (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $1.50, SB calls $1.50, BB folds

      Turn: ($5.25) T (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $3.50, SB calls $3.50

      River: ($12.25) J (2 players)
      SB bets $6.98, Hero folds


      SB was 33/25/17 over 12 - unknown.

      My bet sizing is small as my range is very strong compare to that of my opponents.

      When villain donks after thinking for a while I decided that he is never betting with worse or bluffing, so the best case scenario is if I split. However, his line looks a lot more like a FH. Therefore I decided that it's more +EV to fold.
  • 1 reply
    • w34z3l
      Joined: 03.08.2009 Posts: 13,332
      Hey Dawidas888,

      Preflop open is a little borderline.

      Flop + turn cbets for value are fine.

      River fold to donk is probably decent. Unlikely opponent donks a naked Jx or even a straight on this texture. Most likely holding is a full house.